Emotions in the market
Apr 13th, 2008 by somersetwest
Dear property enthusiastic,
It is a time of changing emotions in the property market. And for us property professionals not always emotions we can understand. Banks are informing us one way while other institutes are informing us differently. The national credit act did have its effects which we got used to surely but slowly. The last weeks interest rate increase is not too nice to experience. The effect in our budgets is enormous. But are we not always riding the waves of the economy and don’t we survive most of the time.
We have to be realistic and face a sign of the times houses are taking longer to sell. Houses sold in March had been an average of 70 days on the market compared to 67 days in February and 66 days in March last year.This is for the whole of South Africa. Houses in the affordable suburbs of Parow and Goodwood sold fairly quickly – in 50 days on average. In the more upmarket False Bay, houses were the market for an average 101 days.
The difference between advertised prices and sale prices jumped to 8.4% in March from 7.1% in February and 6.1% in March last year. In money terms, houses sold in March averaged R233 000 below asking prices compared to R195 000 in February and R132 000 a year ago. Resource of information RPPR
Absa House Price Index 4 April 2008 House price growth slowing down further
Nominal house price growth of 8,7% year-on-year was recorded in the middle segment of the market in March 2008, compared with a revised growth rate of 9,5% in February. Average nominal house price growth came to 9,5% in the first quarter of the year (12,4% in the final quarter of 2007). These trends in house price growth are according to the latest Absa House Price Index, which indicates that the average price of a middle-segment house was about R980 400 in March this year.
In real terms, year-on-year price growth was negative by 0,3% in February from positive growth of 1,0% recorded in January. This was the first time since June 1999 that real year-on-year house price growth was negative.
On a month-on-month basis, nominal house price growth remained stable at 0,5% in March from February. In real terms, house prices were virtually constant, recording positive growth of only 0,2% in February from January.
The slowdown in year-on-year house price growth has accelerated since September last year, mainly driven by further interest rate hikes in the second half of last year, a significant slowdown in growth in real household disposable income up to the end of 2007, and the full implementation of the National Credit Act in mid-2007, which saw a tightening of lending requirements applicable to consumers and financial institutions. Currently at 9,4%, CPIX inflation is way outside the inflation target range of 3%-6%, and still under strong upward pressure as a result of recent oil price, rand exchange rate and food price movements. These factors are adding to inflation expectations, which are set to have a significant impact on demands for higher wages this year. The CPIX inflation rate is forecast to increase to well above 9% in the near term, with an annual average of about 9% projected for the full year.
In view of these developments, the Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee will face a difficult task next week when deciding on the way forward for domestic interest rates. However, the forecast is for rates to remain unchanged throughout 2008.
In view of these developments, house price growth is expected to slow down even further this year from current levels. Nominal price growth of around 7% (about -2% in real terms) is projected for the full year. This will be the lowest nominal growth recorded in house prices since 1999, when it was 4,9%. It will also be the first time since 1999 that annual real house price growth will be in negative territory. Resource information ABSA bank
So how do we need to look at the market. As a seller you have to be realistic. Your house needs to be attractive “You only can make one first impression”. That means that little eyesores must be repaired and that the house needs to be clean and it needs to smell fresh. You might think don’t we know that all. True, but I can tell you we still walk in to houses that do have a severe dog smell or we find an attractive dumping place at the back of the garage.
CLEAN OUT! Before your house is coming on the market. It makes the chances of selling better and it saves you a lot of last moment work while moving out.
LISTEN to your property professional for the price setting of your property.
HIRE A PROFESSIONAL! Please inform in your surroundings if they know a property professional. Use a specialist as you will do for other important jobs. You don’t go to a doctor who never treated a patient before or who is only treating one patient every second month. We are still surprised that people are doing business with family or friends because they are related. Is that person well trained and able to do the job????
If there is a move in your future, call me, you’ll have my prompt,
professional attention, with of course no obligation!
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Linda van Nes Cell: 082 532 3383 O/H: 021 851 7988 Email: lindavannes |